Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000711 0.000810 0.000916 0.001036 0.001168 0.001308 0.001469
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000565 0.000705 0.000863 0.001055 0.001279 0.001532 0.001836
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000469 0.000623 0.000806 0.001036 0.001316 0.001642 0.002047
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000394 0.000554 0.000753 0.001013 0.001340 0.001732 0.002233
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000346 0.000513 0.000727 0.001015 0.001389 0.001848 0.002448
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000311 0.000482 0.000710 0.001026 0.001445 0.001972 0.002675
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000268 0.000437 0.000669 0.001001 0.001452 0.002031 0.002817
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000231 0.000395 0.000629 0.000972 0.001450 0.002075 0.002940
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000370 0.000609 0.000969 0.001481 0.002163 0.003120
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000187 0.000348 0.000592 0.000968 0.001512 0.002250 0.003300
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000166 0.000324 0.000569 0.000956 0.001527 0.002314 0.003449
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000147 0.000299 0.000543 0.000937 0.001531 0.002362 0.003575
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000137 0.000291 0.000543 0.000959 0.001596 0.002498 0.003829
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000282 0.000541 0.000976 0.001654 0.002625 0.004074
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000261 0.000517 0.000959 0.001658 0.002675 0.004210
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000240 0.000492 0.000937 0.001654 0.002712 0.004328
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000229 0.000483 0.000939 0.001687 0.002803 0.004525
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000220 0.000478 0.000949 0.001732 0.002912 0.004750
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000203 0.000454 0.000926 0.001721 0.002938 0.004853
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000185 0.000430 0.000899 0.001704 0.002953 0.004938
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000176 0.000420 0.000896 0.001726 0.003027 0.005114
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000167 0.000411 0.000895 0.001750 0.003105 0.005296
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000157 0.000396 0.000883 0.001756 0.003154 0.005435